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Push Comes to Shove
Memories of the Libyan Conflict and Russia’s Close Ties to Syria May Doom the Arab League Resolution
By Andrew Roth
Russia Profile,
02/01/2012Russia is once again at loggerheads with the West over the United Nations’ response to the “Arab spring” – this time, over the uprising in Syria that has killed close to 6,000 people in the last ten months. An Arab League resolution with support from the United States calling for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s ouster will come up for a UN Security Council vote this week, but Russia has said that it will veto any document supporting military intervention or regime change in Syria. Russia maintains close relations and military trade with its Syrian ally, but analysts say the main driver behind Russia’s position is its belief that the West has conspired to foment the “Arab spring.”
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Mind over Matter
Russia Is Trying to Avoid the “Libya Scenario” in Syria
By
Andrew Roth
Russia Profile
02/09/2012
Violence in Syria intensified this week and the United Nations is calling for Russia to abandon its support for using unilateral diplomacy to defuse tensions there. Russia is caught in an “ideological trap,” where its position against regime change is increasingly being challenged by the violent realities on the ground in Syria. While Prime Minister Vladimir Putin made it clear this week that the country has no interest in abandoning its position on Syria, Russia is betting heavily on the Bashar al-Assad regime maintaining power and may sacrifice its influence in the country if Assad falls in the coming weeks.
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By
Andrew Roth
Russia Profile
02/09/2012
Violence in Syria intensified this week and the United Nations is calling for Russia to abandon its support for using unilateral diplomacy to defuse tensions there. Russia is caught in an “ideological trap,” where its position against regime change is increasingly being challenged by the violent realities on the ground in Syria. While Prime Minister Vladimir Putin made it clear this week that the country has no interest in abandoning its position on Syria, Russia is betting heavily on the Bashar al-Assad regime maintaining power and may sacrifice its influence in the country if Assad falls in the coming weeks.
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